Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.454012 0.497895 0.544883 0.599061 0.659953 0.726447 0.804780
2025-11-23 0.379198 0.439621 0.508879 0.594650 0.698719 0.821791 0.979675
2025-11-30 0.338833 0.407690 0.490332 0.597854 0.735556 0.908066 1.143833
2025-12-07 0.304853 0.377430 0.467696 0.589789 0.753064 0.967446 1.276285
2025-12-14 0.278447 0.353051 0.448658 0.582318 0.767857 1.021697 1.404950
2025-12-21 0.252217 0.326102 0.423154 0.562623 0.762412 1.045516 1.490716
2025-12-28 0.240283 0.316854 0.419979 0.572414 0.797996 1.129626 1.674197
2026-01-04 0.229100 0.307516 0.415543 0.579390 0.829257 1.209432 1.859879
2026-01-11 0.218225 0.297651 0.409337 0.582774 0.854708 1.281962 2.041942
2026-01-18 0.208166 0.288142 0.402753 0.584674 0.877438 1.351642 2.227254
2026-01-25 0.200073 0.280873 0.398789 0.589975 0.905581 1.432381 2.442148
2026-02-01 0.188459 0.267620 0.384877 0.578341 0.904511 1.462804 2.567320
2026-02-08 0.181745 0.261485 0.381623 0.583867 0.933284 1.549231 2.814344
2026-02-15 0.173279 0.252178 0.372841 0.579612 0.944733 1.605639 3.010263
2026-02-22 0.167162 0.246125 0.368737 0.582716 0.969177 1.688294 3.272704
2026-03-01 0.159251 0.236787 0.358743 0.574899 0.972895 1.731331 3.455778
2026-03-08 0.152071 0.228229 0.349498 0.567658 0.976888 1.775022 3.646743
2026-03-15 0.143126 0.216385 0.334168 0.548564 0.956731 1.767705 3.717705
2026-03-22 0.140149 0.214128 0.334740 0.558056 0.992483 1.879498 4.093045
2026-03-29 0.136853 0.211160 0.333896 0.564819 1.023334 1.984271 4.470120
2026-04-05 0.133154 0.207322 0.331313 0.568099 1.047333 2.076686 4.832467
2026-04-12 0.129438 0.203269 0.328114 0.569941 1.068432 2.164890 5.200460
2026-04-19 0.126456 0.200326 0.326701 0.575080 1.096859 2.273258 5.647198